Author Topic: Money Sense  (Read 1921 times)

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Offline seoulbro

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Re: Money Sense
« Reply #20 on: December 10, 2022, 07:02:26 AM »
The Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates elevated through 2023, dashing Wall Street's hopes for rate cuts in the second half of 2023 and almost guaranteeing a recession.

That's according to a group of economists surveyed by Bloomberg, who projected the U.S. central bank will raise the benchmark federal funds rate to a peak of 4.9% in 2023 and hold it there until 2024.

The forecast comes days before the Fed's final meeting of the year, during which policymakers are widely expected to raise rates by 50 basis points following four consecutive 75 basis-point hikes. Officials will announce their decision on Wednesday at 2 p.m. at the conclusion of their two-day meeting.

The Fed will also release its first quarterly forecasts since September, providing insight into where it sees the U.S. economy headed over the next few years. Should policymakers signal that they expect rates to remain high through 2024, it could deliver a hawkish shock to the markets, which are currently betting that rates will be cut in the second half of the year.
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Offline seoulbro

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Re: Money Sense
« Reply #21 on: December 10, 2022, 07:07:59 AM »
American households lost about $6.8 trillion in wealth over the first three quarters of 2022 as the stock market  shed more than 25% of its value, the Federal Reserve reported Friday in the government’s quarterly financial accounts.

The 8.6% drop in real wealth over three quarters is the second-fastest decline on record (the data series begins in 1959). The only greater drop was following the financial crisis of 2008-09. (The wealth lost during the Great Depression of the 1930s would likely hold the record if we had the data.)

It didn't have to be this way.
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Offline seoulbro

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Re: Money Sense
« Reply #22 on: December 11, 2022, 06:56:16 AM »
Economists are starting to worry about the sustainability of high levels of debt as global interest rates rise sharply. A credit crunch could fuel "the mother of all economic crises," Nouriel Roubini warned last week. Some experts have compared the current situation to the structural issues that triggered the 2008 financial crash.
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Offline lokmar

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Re: Money Sense
« Reply #23 on: December 13, 2022, 07:50:17 PM »
Americas election fraud has consequences.
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Offline seoulbro

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Re: Money Sense
« Reply #24 on: December 16, 2022, 11:01:43 AM »
"The growth slowdown is not yet priced," Morgan Stanley CIO Mike Wilson told CNBC on Thursday about the potentially rough ride lower for the S&P 500 next year. Wilson has been warning of a potential drop in the S&P 500 to 3,000 in the first half of 2023.

Inflation has peaked and falling prices will put pressure on corporate profit margins.

Inflation is pulling back from hotter levels, but the looming US contraction has yet to be fully reflected in equities, Morgan Stanley's top stock strategist said Thursday in highlighting the firm's projection of a steep slide in the S&P 500 next year.
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Offline seoulbro

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Re: Money Sense
« Reply #25 on: January 05, 2023, 06:55:30 PM »
Stocks could see double-digit gains in 2023 if 3 factors show the Fed is succeeding in taming inflation.

1. Inflation indicators are dropping rapidly – and some show inflation back to the Fed's 2% target.

While the headline Consumer Price Index is up 7.1%, still well above the Fed's long-run target of 2%, three-month annualized core CPI for December could show a reading of 2.68%.

2. Commodity prices, like oil, natural gas, and wheat, were a major driver of inflation in 2022 and have eased significantly over the past year. Natural gas fell 10.5% as of the first trading day of 2023, while crude oil was down 4.1% and wheat was down 2%.

That brings the prices of all three commodities to nearly the level at the start of 2022 – a strong indicator that prices have already rolled over and are cooling.

3. The labor market has to soften significantly

This will determine wheter the Fed loosens financial conditions. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has repeatedly cited a tight labor market as a reason why the Fed needs to remains restrictive on policy.
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Offline CharlesLap

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Exploring the Miraculous of Dating: Connections, Advancement, and Idea
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Exploring the Fascinating of Dating: Connections, Broadening, and Discovery
« Reply #27 on: February 10, 2024, 10:02:22 AM »
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Exploring the Magic of Dating: Connections, Broadening, and Idea
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Exploring the Magic of Dating: Connections, Broadening, and Determining
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Exploring the Magic of Dating: Connections, Growth, and Idea
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